Thursday, February 7, 2008

The coming war

A former CIA analyst, writing in Time magazine, sees ominous signs that there will be a war between Israel and Hamas sometime soon: http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1710078,00.html.

Isreal didn't fare too well the war against Hezbollah in the summer of 2006. How would it do in what would amount to an urban war as it battled Hezbollah in a heavily fortified setting such as the Gaza Strip? I don't like the odds of Israel doing well in that setting, and when you factor in the possibility that Hezbollah might use the opportunity to renew hostilities in the north, Israel would be facing the most serious military threat it has faced since the Yom Kippur War in 1973.

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